Poll: AAP May Get 55 Seats in Punjab but There's a Bigger Story Here

 The survey says that Congress' vote share may fall from 38.5% to 28.8% and AAP's could increase from 23.7% to 35.1%.

survey predicted that the Aam Aadmi Party may be within striking distance of a majority in Punjab, with a projected seat share of 51-57 seats. The halfway mark in Punjab is 59 seats.

According to the survey, the ruling Congress may be down to 38-46 seats, about half of its current tally. The SAD could get 16-24 seats, which is roughly in the same range as its current tally.

The sample size of the survey is over 13,000 respondents and it was carried out through August 2021.

A win in Punjab is important for AAP as it would be its first government outside of Delhi as well its first in a full-fledged state.

In terms of vote share, the survey predicts that the Congress could witness a decline of close to 10 percentage points, from 38.5 percent in 2017 to a projected 28.8 percent.